My daughter and I discussed colleges this morning. She said Harvard, maybe. Or Yale. I told her… hmmm I’ve never met anybody dumb from MIT, CalTech or Stanford. I’ve met plenty of idiots from Harvard. And I’ve known a few people from Yale, they all seemed smart, but few seemed trustworthy. We agreed that the colleges just enhanced whatever showed up and then got on to other topics.
But case in point arrived a little later today as I perused a blog by Greg Mankiw, a professor of Economics at Harvard. He seems a nice and smart fellow that I’m sure is an excellent teacher. I read his blog regularly. But I notice that sometimes he pulls bone head things out of the sky. For instance, he has an obsession with Pigouvian taxes, ignoring that taxing negative externalities just shifts the problem to defining negative externalities!
But I digress.
I’m going to take issue with his recommendations for Conservatives on Obama’s Fiscal Commission.
He maintains that since tax raises are “inevitable” that Conservatives should be willing to give on them and get other stuff in return.
The fiscal commission is giving the Democrats something of very high value: political cover for a major tax hike. If Republicans are going to give them that, they should get something very big in return. If the conservatives on the commission could achieve my five goals above, it might be a deal worth talking about.
Let me stipulate that Professor Mankiw is probably smarter than me. He knows more about economics than me. But… I’m going to disagree with him vehemently on this Commission. It isn’t, really, an economics issue. It is a will issue. I have it. Our politicians need it. Perhaps Professor Mankiw and I basically disagree that injecting will into our politicians is doable.
My view on this commission:
- He assumes that “conservatives” will be on it. Alan Simpson may be a Republican, but he isn’t a conservative. He is a career politician, a creature of D.C., with a propensity to spend, and he made lots of crappy deals in the Senate with liberals. He is on it because he has shown a propensity to be rolled before. Which leads me to my next point…
- That he is on the commission means he has already been rolled. This Commission is cover for a group that wants to raise taxes. We need not provide them any. Make them do it themselves and take full public pride in doing so.
- I also disagree that we can’t cut spending enough to cut the deficit. Most spending in the deficit is new THIS YEAR. Clearly we don’t need it. As to the remainder… I could easily cut a Trillion dollars out of our budget. EASILY.
- Eliminate TARP and Stimulus spending.
- shift social security age forward, index to life expectancy.
- Eliminate Dept of Education
- Eliminate Dept of Energy
- Eliminate Dept of Commerce
- Eliminate SBA
- Cut Dept of State by 30% (it is up 40% in recent budgets)
- CUT all other departments, including DoD back to 2008 levels
There did it. Wasn’t too hard. And I didn’t raise taxes. And you know what… if you do the above and we still have a deficit, go ahead and raise taxes.
As to this commission… there will always be Republicans stupid, or dishonest, enough to help Democrats raise taxes. That is why the Tea Party must succeed in changing almost completely the mindset of those in Congress.
I hope we can do it.
Oh… and as to tax increases… I’d take my chances on a sovereign default rather be targeted by more tax increases. I’ll probably do okay after the fall. I’m not so sure about Harvard professors.