New models come out all the time predicting future global temperatures. But all recent models prove, says Anthony Watts, is that we don’t have a clue what the temperature will be:
Natural variations dominate any supposed AGW component over timescales of 3 – 4 decades. If that is so then how should be regard 18 years of warming and decades of standstills or cooling in an AGW context? At what point do we question the hypothesis of CO2 induced warming?
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Given the IPCC’s estimate of the strength of the postulated AGW warming, it is clear that those uncertainties are larger than the AGW effect that may have been observed.
The above quotation is fancy talk meaning that the error KNOWN to be in the data produced by natural causes is bigger than the predicted change in temperature in the models.
In other words, WE DON”T KNOW what, if any, the effect of man is on global temperatures.
But it really isn’t about science. It is about using the scare to get the dough.
September 9th, 2009 at 9:00 pm
Didja know IPCC models have no macroscopic algorithms for rain or volcanoes.